What Does a Rolling Recession Mean for Your Retirement? BML Wealth Management

What Is A Rolling Recession?

You may have noticed that the economy after the pandemic has been very up and down. And while there has been talk of a possible recession for a few years now, we have yet to completely enter a recession. A recession is traditionally defined as a consistent, widespread downturn in the economy. [1] And although there have been major market downturns recently, there have also been major rallies.

Instead of qualifying our current economic situation as a recession, experts have been using the term “rolling recession.” The term means that instead of a widespread decline in economic activity affecting the entire country, certain industries or regions experience a downturn while others continue to grow. [2]

For example, a rolling recession might occur if California experiences a decline in the tech and housing market while Florida experiences growth in the energy sector. The decline in the housing market would cause a contraction in economic activity in California, while the growth in the energy sector in Florida would help support overall economic growth in the country.

Currently, certain economic indicators look strong: inflation is looking like it might slow down, and the Gross Domestic Product is doing better than expected. [3] But other areas have slowed down or are seeing downturns. Consumers are still feeling the effects of the sudden increase in inflation, and you may have noticed inflation making its way into your life. And industries such as housing and manufacturing are struggling.[4] This is why many experts are calling our current situation a rolling recession.

What Does Rolling Recession Mean For You?

In general, experts recommend being careful with your finances. Rolling recessions are difficult to track, and there is uncertainty about if a rolling recession will turn into an actual recession. So careful spending and careful saving are likely going to be good strategies until the country reaches more solid economic ground.[5]

 

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The commentary on this blog reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of BML Wealth Management’s employees providing such comments and should not be regarded as a description of advisory services provided by West Wealth Group, LLC. The views reflected in the commentary are subject to change at any time without notice. Nothing on this blog constitutes investment advice. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

Investment advisory services through West Wealth Group, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. BML Wealth Management and West Wealth Group, LLC are affiliated entities. Insurance Services are offered through BML Wealth & Insurance Services, California Insurance License #0M15550.

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